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USD/JPY 2025 Review and the 2026 Risk Range Outlook

USD/JPY commenced 2025 at approximately 157.00, experienced a brief decline below 140.00 in April, and subsequently spent the remainder of the year steadily increasing, concluding December near 156.00, which is roughly 1% lower than its starting point. The trajectory was far from smooth: an April downturn influenced by tariffs and disappointing US data, a significant … Read more

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USD/JPY Dips to 155.80 After Hitting 157.77

The USD/JPY pair has transitioned from a narrative of breakout potential to a critical examination of its support levels. The pair surged to approximately 157.765 on December 19, nearing an almost 11-month peak close to 158.00, before retreating to the 155.80–156.40 range. The decline completely wiped out the gains from the post-BoJ policy rally, establishing … Read more

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USD/JPY Hits 158 as BoJ’s “Dovish Hike” Fuels Yen Sell-Off

Last week saw a significant increase in USD/JPY, with the pair rising over 200 pips on Friday alone, closing near ¥157.7–¥157.8, approaching the 2025 high. Weekly movements contribute approximately 1.2%–1.3%, continuing a two-week upward trend and maintaining the dollar’s strong position against the yen. This is occurring within a broader context. The US dollar index … Read more

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USD/JPY Stays Above 155 as BoJ and US CPI Signal Major Shift

The USD/JPY pair is currently maintaining its position within the 155.50–156.00 range, having tested levels above 155.60 during the early Asian session and continuing to rise as the European session progresses. In the past week of trading, the pair has experienced a modest decline of approximately 1%, which can be considered a minor pullback in … Read more

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USD/JPY Hovers at 155.5 as Dollar Bounces Back

The USD/JPY currency pair is currently fluctuating between 155.40 and 155.60 following a significant intraday recovery, reflecting an approximate increase of +0.5% from the previous lows. The pair momentarily fell below the 155.00 threshold before rebounding toward 155.50, coinciding with a recovery in the US Dollar and an increase in Treasury yields. The Dollar Index … Read more

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USD/JPY stuck in a range 154.50 to 158.90 amid BoJ-Fed split

USD/JPY has transitioned from a consistent upward trajectory into a phase of consolidation just beneath the highs. Following a peak close to 158.90 in early January and reaching a high of 158.05, approximately 13.25% above the late-September low, the pair has retraced toward the mid-150s, with recent values around 154.90–155.90. The current structure indicates a … Read more

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USD/JPY Hits 155 as Yen Gains as BoJ Hike Meets NFP

The USD/JPY pair is currently positioned within the 155.0–155.5 range, reflecting a decline of approximately 0.3–0.5% for the day, following its inability to maintain the upward movement towards 158.0 observed in late November. The pair declined to an intraday low close to 154.8 and is currently positioned just below the 21-day simple moving average at … Read more

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USD/JPY slips as dollar weakens ahead of key central bank decisions

The USD/JPY pair concluded the week at approximately ¥155.80, reflecting an increase of about 0.30% and successfully ending a two-week decline. The price has fluctuated throughout the month, hovering around the ¥155 mark on the lower end and the ¥158 level on the upper end. The two levels currently delineate the immediate area of contention. … Read more

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USD/JPY Soars to 155.80 Amid Japan’s Wage Surge

The USD/JPY pair is currently at 155.80, reflecting a 0.30% increase for the day, and is maintaining proximity to a two-week high as global investors prepare for the Federal Reserve’s decision this Wednesday. The current market scenario presents an unusual divergence: Japan is shifting towards tightening measures, whereas the U.S. is gearing up for easing … Read more

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USD/JPY Slides to 154.30 Amid BoJ’s Boldest Shift in Years

The USD/JPY landscape has transitioned into a critical phase as the pair pulls back from late-November highs close to 157.89 and begins early December trading positioned between 154.30 and 155.00. The recent multi-session decline is not attributable to a singular catalyst; rather, it is the result of a convergence of pressures that are ultimately reversing … Read more