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USD/JPY Pair Stalls Below 155

The USD/JPY has recently concluded a volatile month that has complicated the straightforward narrative surrounding the pair. The price dropped to a weekly low around 152.09 before bouncing back to approximately 154.75, concluding January with a decline of about 1.3% and, importantly, remaining below the 155.00 threshold that had served as a key pivot for … Read more

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USD/JPY Approaches 154 as Fed Maintains 3.50–3.75%

The recent decision by the Federal Reserve to maintain the target range at 3.50%–3.75% following a 10–2 vote positions US monetary policy distinctly above Japan’s near-zero rates, resulting in an immediate strengthening of the US Dollar and a firmer USD/JPY exchange rate. Two governors advocated for a 25 bp reduction, yet the majority highlighted “solid” … Read more

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USD/JPY Dips from 159 to 153 Amid Intervention Concerns

The USD/JPY pair is currently positioned between 153.0 and 153.3 following a tumultuous month that saw the exchange rate surge from approximately 139 in April of the previous year to the 159–160 range, before experiencing a decline of about 4% from this year’s peak. The recent shift has brought back authentic foreign exchange volatility following … Read more

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USD/JPY Drops to 156 After Surging to 159.22

The USD/JPY has transitioned from a straightforward carry trade to a complex political landscape. The pair experienced a reversal exceeding 300 pips, moving from the peak of 159.22 down to approximately 156.18–156.40 within a single trading session. Selling intensified following reports that Japan’s Ministry of Finance conducted a “rate check”, reaching out to banks for … Read more

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USD/JPY Fluctuates Between 156–160 as BoJ Keeps Rate at 0.75%

The USD/JPY cross is currently positioned in a delicate balance following a week characterized by significant volatility influenced by central bank communications, political developments, and discussions of intervention. The price has been fluctuating between support levels in the range of 156.0–157.0 and encountering resistance in the zone of 159.0–161.9. A surge to approximately 159.2 following … Read more

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USD/JPY Stays Around 156 After 157.80 Rejection

The USD/JPY chart illustrates a struggle to maintain levels above 157.70–157.80, accompanied by a persistent consolidation near 156.30. The price advanced towards 157.80 but faced a strong rejection, subsequently retreating into the 155.85–156 range during the European session, negating a significant portion of the movement from 156.30. Throughout the day, the pair continues to fluctuate … Read more

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USD/JPY Dips to 156 as BoJ’s Hawkish Shift Meets Fed Cut Expectations

The USD/JPY pair is currently positioned between 156.0 and 156.2, reflecting a decline of approximately 0.3% for the day following the recent Bank of Japan Summary of Opinions. The price has fallen below the nine-day EMA at approximately 156.19 and is currently positioned just above the initial support cluster in the range of 155.96–156.00. During … Read more

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USD/JPY Approaches 160.60 as BOJ Shift Risks Carry Trade

Toward the end of 2025, USD/JPY is positioned near the year’s peaks, reflecting a distinct bullish trend stemming from the prolonged carry trade, yet it is beginning to exhibit signs of weakening momentum. The pair has been fluctuating for nearly two years within a broad range of approximately 140 yen to 160 yen per dollar, … Read more

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USD/JPY Stuck at 156, Below 158 Amid BoJ Hike

The USD/JPY is currently positioned in the mid-156 range, having retreated from a year-to-date high near 157.83 and consistently struggling to maintain levels above the 157–158 range. The rejection zone now establishes the upper boundary of a distinct double-top formation on the daily chart, with a neckline positioned around 154.42 and further trend support near … Read more

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USD/JPY 2025 Review and the 2026 Risk Range Outlook

USD/JPY commenced 2025 at approximately 157.00, experienced a brief decline below 140.00 in April, and subsequently spent the remainder of the year steadily increasing, concluding December near 156.00, which is roughly 1% lower than its starting point. The trajectory was far from smooth: an April downturn influenced by tariffs and disappointing US data, a significant … Read more

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