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EUR/USD at Risk as Oil Shock and Fed-ECB Divergence Favor Dollar

EUR/USD concluded Friday at 1.1817, reflecting a modest increase of 0.13% for the session, yet remaining largely unchanged for the week — confined within a narrow range of 1.1743 to 1.1820, which concealed the turbulent dynamics at play beneath the surface. Then Saturday arrived and the entire dynamic shifted. The United States and Israel initiated … Read more

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EUR/USD Stuck at 1.1780 Amid Tariff Concerns

EUR/USD is currently positioned around 1.1770–1.1780, having encountered resistance near 1.1835 and pulling back from the 1.2100 level reached last month. The pair is currently positioned at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level following the rebound from the 200-day SMA at 1.1658, establishing the 1.1775–1.1770 range as a significant pivot point. The present range is 1.1750–1.1830. … Read more

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EUR/USD Trapped Under 1.19 as Dollar Index Stays at 96.97

EUR/USD has been fluctuating in recent sessions just under 1.1900, not managing to gain traction for a clear move above 1.20 or a significant drop toward 1.1800. One of the primary intraday narratives was the initial surge above 1.1900 toward approximately 1.1920, which quickly dissipated following the release of stronger-than-anticipated US labor data, causing the … Read more

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EUR/USD Holds Steady Under 1.18 as ECB-Fed Policy Split Boosts Euro

EUR/USD has retraced to the 1.1710–1.1740 range following its test of the 1.18 level, yet the fundamental macro backdrop remains favorable for the euro. The ECB has maintained its key rate at 2.00% for the fourth consecutive meeting, while also increasing its growth and inflation projections for 2026. Core Eurozone inflation remains at approximately 3.1%, … Read more

EUR-USD

EUR/USD Holds 1.17 Amid Weak US CPI Weighing on Dollar

The EUR/USD pair is currently positioned between 1.1710 and 1.1720 following four consecutive days of declines. Nevertheless, it retains the majority of its approximately 2% rally over the past three weeks and continues to operate within a distinct upward trend. The price has retraced from this week’s three-month peak at 1.1804 and is currently examining … Read more

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EUR/USD Stays Above 1.1700 with ECB at 2.0% and US CPI at 2.7%

The fundamental configuration in EUR/USD features a 2.0% ECB deposit rate maintained, juxtaposed with a Fed that recently experienced a headline CPI decline to 2.7% year-on-year, compared to a consensus of 3.1%. The interplay of these factors diminishes the strength of the USD narrative, particularly as the ECB indicates that its current policy stance is … Read more

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EUR/USD Holds 1.17 before ECB Meeting and NFP Push Pair to 1.20

The EUR/USD pair is currently positioned within the 1.1730–1.1750 range, following a retracement from last week’s peak near 1.1760–1.1762, marking the highest level observed in approximately two months. The pair momentarily exceeded 1.1750 before retreating to the 1.1730–1.1740 range, yet the price continues to hold above last week’s lows and significantly above the mid-November support … Read more

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EUR/USD Stays 1.173–1.176 as Fed Cuts and DXY 98 Push for 1.18

On December 12, EUR/USD is positioned near 1.173–1.174, following a rise to a 10-week peak in the 1.1750–1.1762 range, reflecting an increase of nearly 2% over the past three weeks. The pair has decisively moved beyond the 1.16–1.17 congestion band and is currently approaching a resistance cluster between 1.1760 and 1.1788. The market is evidently … Read more

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EUR/USD Rises 1.17 as Fed Cuts Rates Again, Dollar Index Drops

EUR/USD is currently positioned at $1.1720, reflecting an increase of nearly 0.8% over the past two sessions, following the Federal Reserve’s third consecutive 25 basis points rate cut, which has led to a depreciation of the US Dollar. The Federal Reserve has lowered the funds range to 3.50%–3.75%, marking its lowest level in three years, … Read more

EUR USD Up

EUR/USD Hits 1.1660 as Fed Cut Chances Soar to 90%

EUR/USD is currently positioned around 1.1665, holding steady above its recent breakout range following a rebound from 1.1525, a level that was previously identified as a significant Fibonacci zone. The pair holds steady as markets prepare for a pivotal Federal Reserve policy meeting anticipated to set the course heading into year-end. Market participants are aligning … Read more