The EUR/USD pair is currently fluctuating within a narrow yet volatile range of 1.1650–1.1700, showing signs of recovery from the previous week’s low of 1.1617 and consistently testing the 1.1690–1.1700 area. The shift is influenced not solely by traditional growth or interest rate differentials; rather, it is propelled by a significant institutional impact on the … Read more
GBP/USD begins 2026 within the $1.3450–$1.3490 range, bolstered mainly by the differences in central bank policies. The Federal Reserve has implemented three cuts thus far, adjusting the target range to 3.50%–3.75%. Market expectations indicate the possibility of two additional reductions by 2026. The trajectory narrows the yield differential compared to other major currencies and consistently … Read more
EUR/USD is currently positioned between 1.1765 and 1.1770, showing signs of stabilization following a four-day decline as the Dollar takes a breather and liquidity diminishes as we approach year-end. The primary factor influencing this situation is the adjustment of policies. The Fed has implemented a complete 75 bps easing cycle in 2025, reducing rates by … Read more
The EUR/USD rate is currently positioned between 1.1760 and 1.1780, having struggled to break through the 1.1800 to 1.1808 range in the previous week. The price is currently consolidating following a robust rally in December, amidst very low liquidity typical of the year-end period. On the macro side, three Fed cuts in 2025 have lowered … Read more
The EUR/USD pair is currently positioned between 1.1790 and 1.1800, having recently reached a three-month peak at 1.1808. The action occurs in light of a robust 4.3% annualized US GDP figure for Q3, an increase from approximately 3.8%, which typically would have bolstered the USD under standard conditions. The recent uptick in the dollar proved … Read more
The Bank of Japan has made a significant move by raising its short-term rate from 0.50% to 0.75%, marking the highest level in approximately thirty years, and this decision was reached by unanimous vote. Headline inflation stands at approximately 2.9%, with core inflation nearing 3.0%, significantly exceeding the Bank of Japan’s 2% target. Despite this, … Read more
GBP/USD is maintaining a range between 1.3370 and 1.3440 after testing 1.3446, with the spot fluctuating around 1.3373 to 1.3380. For 2025, the pair is approximately 6–6.5% elevated, transitioning from around 15-month lows to approaching a four-year peak, and is currently solidifying that progression. The current price action reflects typical late-cycle foreign exchange behavior, with … Read more
The USD/JPY pair has maintained a close correlation with the front end of the U.S. yield curve in recent weeks. The correlation with the pricing for a Fed cut in 2026 stands at approximately -0.7, while the relationship with the two-year Treasury yield is around +0.77. In contrast, the connections to the 10-year yield, broader … Read more
The USD/CAD pair demonstrates a rejection of gains at the 1.38 level, with resistance remaining intact, while recent Federal Reserve bond-buying activities exert pressure on the dollar. The current tightening of rate differentials contributes to volatile trading conditions, presenting risks below 1.37 and 1.36, whereas an upward movement necessitates a breach of 1.39. The US … Read more
GBP/USD is currently positioned in the 1.3370–1.3420 range following a significant upward movement from the 1.3000 low observed on 4 November, primarily driven by a softer USD. The Fed executed a third consecutive 25 basis points reduction, adjusting the funds rate to a range of 3.50–3.75% with a 9–3 vote, which subsequently led to widespread … Read more