The USD/CAD pair shows a notable increase, reaching approximately 1.3770 during the early European session on Monday. The initial support level is identified at 1.3745, while the key resistance level to monitor stands at 1.3877. Market participants prepare for the release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI report. The USD/CAD pair moves upward, approaching 1.3770 … Read more
GBP/USD is currently positioned between 1.3420 and 1.3450 following a minor bearish gap and an unsuccessful effort to maintain levels above the mid-1.3400s. The recent movement is primarily influenced by the USD side: the US Dollar Index is approaching the 98.6–98.7 range, bolstered by safe-haven flows following the US operation in Venezuela and the capture … Read more
The recent US intervention in Venezuela and the apprehension of Nicolás Maduro have led to a significant increase in traditional hedges, while overall market risk remains unchanged. Gold is currently priced between $4,413 and $4,421 per ounce, having briefly reached a peak of approximately $4,549.71 on December 26. Silver is currently priced near $75.5, reflecting … Read more
The USD/JPY pair commenced Monday with a surge towards 157.30, influenced by market reactions to the US’s actions against Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro. However, it subsequently retraced to the 156.5–156.8 range as equities, Bitcoin, and crude oil found stability. The initial surge into the dollar due to “geopolitical shock” was not maintained: S&P 500 futures … Read more
The GBP/USD pair is currently stabilizing at approximately 1.3450, following a year that commenced near 1.21, which marked a 15-month low, and reached a peak of 1.3790, representing a four-year high. The trajectory of that price is significant as it establishes the two thresholds that govern behavior in 2026. 1.35 is not merely a round … Read more
The EUR/USD pair is currently positioned between 1.1750 and 1.1760, consistently testing a level that has historically rejected price movements several times since the end of the third quarter. This is a systematic issue of congestion. The convergence of a 2025 high-week close (1.1747–1.1755), a 61.8% retracement of the September pullback, and the upper boundary … Read more
Japan’s decision in December to implement a 0.75% policy rate has established a new benchmark; however, market participants are focusing on credibility and the sequence of events rather than the headline figure itself. The discussion surrounding “250 yen per dollar” arises from the potential for a weak-yen trajectory, particularly if there is an increase in … Read more
GBP/USD starts 2026 trading in the range of 1.3400 to 1.3500, with the spot consistently moving towards 1.3450–1.3475. During the initial sessions of the year, the pair momentarily advanced toward 1.3490–1.3500 before retreating below 1.3450 following a rejection near 1.3475. The recent rebound from the 1.3400 level maintains a positive short-term outlook: sellers are present … Read more
EUR/USD begins 2026 under markedly different conditions compared to the previous year. Throughout the majority of 2025, the US Dollar experienced a decline of approximately 14% against the euro, as market participants anticipated a complete Federal Reserve easing cycle alongside a more subdued trajectory for US economic growth. The shift propelled EUR/USD from concerns of … Read more
AUD/USD begins 2026 positioned with a distinct macro advantage. Inflation risks have resurfaced in Australia, maintaining the RBA’s inclination towards restraint rather than easing. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is under increasing pressure to implement cuts as the US labor market shows signs of cooling and political dynamics become more intense ahead of the midterms. This … Read more