EUR/USD is currently positioned between 1.1765 and 1.1770, showing signs of stabilization following a four-day decline as the Dollar takes a breather and liquidity diminishes as we approach year-end. The primary factor influencing this situation is the adjustment of policies. The Fed has implemented a complete 75 bps easing cycle in 2025, reducing rates by … Read more
The EUR/USD rate is currently positioned between 1.1760 and 1.1780, having struggled to break through the 1.1800 to 1.1808 range in the previous week. The price is currently consolidating following a robust rally in December, amidst very low liquidity typical of the year-end period. On the macro side, three Fed cuts in 2025 have lowered … Read more
The EUR/USD pair is currently positioned between 1.1790 and 1.1800, having recently reached a three-month peak at 1.1808. The action occurs in light of a robust 4.3% annualized US GDP figure for Q3, an increase from approximately 3.8%, which typically would have bolstered the USD under standard conditions. The recent uptick in the dollar proved … Read more
The Bank of Japan has made a significant move by raising its short-term rate from 0.50% to 0.75%, marking the highest level in approximately thirty years, and this decision was reached by unanimous vote. Headline inflation stands at approximately 2.9%, with core inflation nearing 3.0%, significantly exceeding the Bank of Japan’s 2% target. Despite this, … Read more
GBP/USD is maintaining a range between 1.3370 and 1.3440 after testing 1.3446, with the spot fluctuating around 1.3373 to 1.3380. For 2025, the pair is approximately 6–6.5% elevated, transitioning from around 15-month lows to approaching a four-year peak, and is currently solidifying that progression. The current price action reflects typical late-cycle foreign exchange behavior, with … Read more
The USD/JPY pair has maintained a close correlation with the front end of the U.S. yield curve in recent weeks. The correlation with the pricing for a Fed cut in 2026 stands at approximately -0.7, while the relationship with the two-year Treasury yield is around +0.77. In contrast, the connections to the 10-year yield, broader … Read more
The USD/CAD pair demonstrates a rejection of gains at the 1.38 level, with resistance remaining intact, while recent Federal Reserve bond-buying activities exert pressure on the dollar. The current tightening of rate differentials contributes to volatile trading conditions, presenting risks below 1.37 and 1.36, whereas an upward movement necessitates a breach of 1.39. The US … Read more
GBP/USD is currently positioned in the 1.3370–1.3420 range following a significant upward movement from the 1.3000 low observed on 4 November, primarily driven by a softer USD. The Fed executed a third consecutive 25 basis points reduction, adjusting the funds rate to a range of 3.50–3.75% with a 9–3 vote, which subsequently led to widespread … Read more
EUR/USD is currently positioned at $1.1720, reflecting an increase of nearly 0.8% over the past two sessions, following the Federal Reserve’s third consecutive 25 basis points rate cut, which has led to a depreciation of the US Dollar. The Federal Reserve has lowered the funds range to 3.50%–3.75%, marking its lowest level in three years, … Read more
The USD/JPY pair is currently positioned within the 155.10–155.60 range following a notable intraday decline of approximately 0.5%, which contributes to a two-day recovery of the yen. The pair has declined from recent peaks around 156.90–157.00 and is currently examining a robust support zone situated between 155.50–155.00, as the market adjusts to the altered rate … Read more
