The USD/JPY pair commenced Monday with a surge towards 157.30, influenced by market reactions to the US’s actions against Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro. However, it subsequently retraced to the 156.5–156.8 range as equities, Bitcoin, and crude oil found stability. The initial surge into the dollar due to “geopolitical shock” was not maintained: S&P 500 futures … Read more
Japan’s decision in December to implement a 0.75% policy rate has established a new benchmark; however, market participants are focusing on credibility and the sequence of events rather than the headline figure itself. The discussion surrounding “250 yen per dollar” arises from the potential for a weak-yen trajectory, particularly if there is an increase in … Read more
EUR/USD begins 2026 under markedly different conditions compared to the previous year. Throughout the majority of 2025, the US Dollar experienced a decline of approximately 14% against the euro, as market participants anticipated a complete Federal Reserve easing cycle alongside a more subdued trajectory for US economic growth. The shift propelled EUR/USD from concerns of … Read more
AUD/USD begins 2026 positioned with a distinct macro advantage. Inflation risks have resurfaced in Australia, maintaining the RBA’s inclination towards restraint rather than easing. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is under increasing pressure to implement cuts as the US labor market shows signs of cooling and political dynamics become more intense ahead of the midterms. This … Read more
EUR/USD is currently trading within a narrow range around the mid-1.17s, oscillating between approximately $1.1720 and $1.1760, with consistent difficulties in maintaining any momentum close to $1.1800. Quotes from various sources indicate that the pair is trading between $1.1752 and $1.1755, with intraday lows slightly above $1.1720 and previous fluctuations below $1.1735 and $1.1732, reinforcing … Read more
The USD/JPY pair is currently positioned between 156.8 and 157.0, following four consecutive sessions hovering just below the 157.00 mark. The price has maintained its position within an ascending channel since early December, establishing higher lows starting from approximately 151.7 on the daily chart and around 155.7–156.3 on intraday charts. The pair has moved past … Read more
EUR/USD enters January 2026 trading within the 1.17–1.18 range, concluding December at approximately 1.1738–1.1763 following multiple unsuccessful efforts to maintain a position above the 1.1800 psychological threshold. At the beginning of December, the pair was positioned around 1.1585, indicating that the market has gained approximately 180–200 pips within a single month and about 13% over … Read more
GBP/USD is currently positioned between 1.3450 and 1.3460, having encountered resistance once more at the 1.3534–1.3535 level. The mentioned level represents the highest point in the last three months and marks the upper boundary of the ongoing ascending channel. The pair currently rests just below the nine-day EMA at 1.3462, maintaining a position significantly above … Read more
GBP/USD is currently positioned at approximately 1.3510 following a two-day surge that propelled the pair past 1.3450, establishing a narrow range between 1.3470 and 1.3518, just below the resistance level. The price remains firmly above the 1.3500 level, indicating that buyers have effectively absorbed the initial spike following the Bank of England’s 25 bps reduction … Read more
GBP/USD commenced the week at approximately 1.33785 and concluded near 1.34978, resulting in an approximate gain of 120 pips over the span of five trading days. The current price is positioned within a well-established short-term range, spanning from 1.34310 to 1.35430, with Friday’s closing value situated close to the upper boundary of this interval. The … Read more