In January, the US Consumer Price Index increased by 0.2% on a month-to-month basis and 2.4% on a year-over-year basis, falling short of the 2.5% forecast and decreasing from the previous 2.7% rate. Core CPI rose by 0.3% for the month, while the annual core rate decreased to 2.5% from the previous 2.6%. The combination … Read more
The EUR/USD pair is currently positioned around 1.186–1.187, following four sessions of constrained trading, oscillating within the range of approximately 1.1785 and 1.1930. The price continues to follow an upward trajectory, maintaining its position above the nine-day EMA close to 1.1860 and the 50-day EMA in the range of 1.1765–1.1766, with the shorter EMA positioned … Read more
GBP/USD has retraced from the 1.3860 peak towards the 1.3700–1.3750 range following a significant rebound in the US Dollar. The recent catalyst was the January FOMC decision along with the unexpected robustness in US producer prices. Headline US PPI increased approximately 0.5% month-on-month, surpassing expectations of around 0.2%. Core PPI increased by approximately 0.7%, compared … Read more
The recent decision by the Federal Reserve to maintain the target range at 3.50%–3.75% following a 10–2 vote positions US monetary policy distinctly above Japan’s near-zero rates, resulting in an immediate strengthening of the US Dollar and a firmer USD/JPY exchange rate. Two governors advocated for a 25 bp reduction, yet the majority highlighted “solid” … Read more
GBP/USD is currently positioned between 1.3470 and 1.3485, reflecting an increase of approximately 0.5 to 0.6% for the day, following a significant rebound from a near three-week low slightly above 1.3400. The pair has turned directly on the 200-day moving average cluster at 1.3380–1.3400 and moved back into the mid-1.34s, reversing a four-session losing streak. … Read more
The EUR/USD pair is currently fluctuating within a narrow yet volatile range of 1.1650–1.1700, showing signs of recovery from the previous week’s low of 1.1617 and consistently testing the 1.1690–1.1700 area. The shift is influenced not solely by traditional growth or interest rate differentials; rather, it is propelled by a significant institutional impact on the … Read more
GBP/USD begins 2026 within the $1.3450–$1.3490 range, bolstered mainly by the differences in central bank policies. The Federal Reserve has implemented three cuts thus far, adjusting the target range to 3.50%–3.75%. Market expectations indicate the possibility of two additional reductions by 2026. The trajectory narrows the yield differential compared to other major currencies and consistently … Read more
EUR/USD is currently positioned between 1.1765 and 1.1770, showing signs of stabilization following a four-day decline as the Dollar takes a breather and liquidity diminishes as we approach year-end. The primary factor influencing this situation is the adjustment of policies. The Fed has implemented a complete 75 bps easing cycle in 2025, reducing rates by … Read more
The EUR/USD rate is currently positioned between 1.1760 and 1.1780, having struggled to break through the 1.1800 to 1.1808 range in the previous week. The price is currently consolidating following a robust rally in December, amidst very low liquidity typical of the year-end period. On the macro side, three Fed cuts in 2025 have lowered … Read more
The EUR/USD pair is currently positioned between 1.1790 and 1.1800, having recently reached a three-month peak at 1.1808. The action occurs in light of a robust 4.3% annualized US GDP figure for Q3, an increase from approximately 3.8%, which typically would have bolstered the USD under standard conditions. The recent uptick in the dollar proved … Read more